{"id":6135,"date":"2025-06-08T18:31:12","date_gmt":"2025-06-08T11:31:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/regular-investor.com\/?p=6135"},"modified":"2025-06-08T18:31:30","modified_gmt":"2025-06-08T11:31:30","slug":"analisis-saham-aces-kinerja-kuartal-i-2025-dan-prospek-ke-depan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/regular-investor.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/08\/analisis-saham-aces-kinerja-kuartal-i-2025-dan-prospek-ke-depan\/","title":{"rendered":"Analisis Saham ACES: Kinerja Kuartal I-2025 dan Prospek ke Depan"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kinerja ACES Kuartal I-2025: Tekanan Daya Beli dan Penurunan SSSG<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>PT <strong>Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia Tbk (ACES)<\/strong> mengalami penurunan kinerja pada <strong>kuartal I-2025<\/strong>, seiring melemahnya daya beli masyarakat dan <strong>pertumbuhan penjualan toko sejenis (SSSG) yang hanya mencapai 2,2%<\/strong>, jauh lebih rendah dari <strong>5,9% di kuartal sebelumnya<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dalam laporan keuangannya, ACES membukukan pendapatan sebesar <strong>Rp2,1 triliun<\/strong>, mengalami <strong>penurunan 9,3% secara kuartalan<\/strong>, namun masih tumbuh <strong>7,2% secara tahunan (YoY)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meskipun capaian ini sejalan dengan estimasi <strong>Samuel Sekuritas<\/strong>, yang mencapai <strong>24,4% dari target tahunan<\/strong>, pelemahan konsumsi selama <strong>periode Lebaran<\/strong> turut memberikan dampak signifikan pada operasional ACES.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Margin Tertekan, Laba Bersih Turun 30%<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Margin kotor<\/strong> turun menjadi <strong>48%<\/strong>, dari <strong>49,4% di kuartal sebelumnya<\/strong>, karena meningkatnya kontribusi <strong>produk dengan margin rendah<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Margin EBIT<\/strong> anjlok ke <strong>5,6%<\/strong>, terdampak oleh kenaikan <strong>beban gaji yang mencapai 21,4% dari total pendapatan<\/strong>, serta <strong>biaya iklan dan promosi<\/strong> terkait <strong>rebranding perusahaan<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Laba bersih ACES<\/strong> sebesar <strong>Rp142 miliar<\/strong>, mengalami <strong>penurunan 55,4% secara kuartalan dan 30,9% secara tahunan<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Strategi Ekspansi: Target 22 Gerai Baru di Luar Jawa<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Meski kinerja merosot, <strong>ACES tetap berencana membuka 22 gerai baru di semester II-2025<\/strong>, sebagian besar berada di wilayah <strong>luar Jawa (ex-Java)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Strategi ini dinilai positif karena:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Ukuran transaksi (ticket size) cenderung lebih besar di luar Jawa<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Biaya sewa lebih rendah<\/strong>, memungkinkan efisiensi operasional yang lebih baik.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Ekspansi ke wilayah <strong>greenfield<\/strong> juga dinilai sebagai langkah strategis yang bisa memberikan <strong>momentum positif bagi pertumbuhan perusahaan<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rekomendasi Investasi: Target Harga Diturunkan, Rekomendasi BUY Dipertahankan<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Samuel Sekuritas<\/strong> tetap mempertahankan <strong>rekomendasi BUY untuk saham ACES<\/strong>, meski menurunkan <strong>target harga (TP) dari Rp960 menjadi Rp680 per saham<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;Penyesuaian ini mencerminkan valuasi Price to Earnings (PE) 2025 sebesar 17,8x. Saat ini, valuasi saham ACES dinilai menarik pada level 14,4x PE 2025,&#8221; tulis riset tersebut, Rabu (4\/6\/2025).<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Analis melihat <strong>pasar luar Jawa masih menjadi penopang utama<\/strong>, diperkuat dengan harga komoditas tinggi dan ekspansi ke daerah baru.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Risiko yang Perlu Dicermati Investor<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Meski prospek ekspansi menarik, investor perlu memperhatikan beberapa risiko utama:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Daya beli konsumen yang bisa melemah lebih dalam<\/strong> dari perkiraan.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Harga komoditas yang lebih rendah dari ekspektasi<\/strong>, yang dapat berdampak pada daya beli di wilayah luar Jawa.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kesimpulan<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Dengan penurunan laba dan margin akibat <strong>pelemahan konsumsi<\/strong>, ACES berupaya memperbaiki kinerja dengan ekspansi <strong>ke luar Jawa<\/strong>. Meskipun target harga saham diturunkan, rekomendasi <strong>BUY tetap dipertahankan<\/strong> karena valuasi yang masih menarik serta potensi pertumbuhan dari strategi ekspansi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Investor yang mencari <strong>potensi jangka panjang<\/strong> bisa mempertimbangkan ACES sebagai bagian dari portofolio mereka, namun tetap perlu mencermati <strong>risiko makroekonomi yang dapat mempengaruhi daya beli masyarakat<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kinerja ACES Kuartal I-2025: Tekanan Daya Beli dan Penurunan SSSG PT Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia Tbk (ACES) mengalami penurunan kinerja pada kuartal I-2025, seiring melemahnya daya beli masyarakat dan pertumbuhan penjualan toko sejenis (SSSG) yang hanya mencapai 2,2%, jauh lebih rendah dari 5,9% di kuartal sebelumnya. Dalam laporan keuangannya, ACES membukukan pendapatan sebesar Rp2,1 triliun, mengalami [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":6136,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[2913],"tags":[3489,3961,3488],"class_list":["post-6135","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stockinsight","tag-aces","tag-analisis-saham","tag-pt-aspirasi-hidup-indonesia-tbk"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Analisis Saham ACES: Kinerja Kuartal I-2025 dan Prospek ke Depan - Regular-investor.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"PT Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia Tbk (ACES) mencatat penurunan laba bersih hingga 30% di kuartal I-2025 akibat tekanan daya beli. 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