{"id":5338,"date":"2025-02-27T14:22:47","date_gmt":"2025-02-27T07:22:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/regular-investor.com\/?p=5338"},"modified":"2025-02-27T14:22:51","modified_gmt":"2025-02-27T07:22:51","slug":"goldman-sachs-prediksi-rupiah-jadi-yang-terburuk-di-asia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/regular-investor.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/27\/goldman-sachs-prediksi-rupiah-jadi-yang-terburuk-di-asia\/","title":{"rendered":"Goldman Sachs: Prediksi Rupiah Jadi yang Terburuk di Asia"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Prediksi Goldman Sachs: Rupiah Terpuruk di Asia<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Bank investasi global Goldman Sachs<\/strong> memperkirakan bahwa rupiah<\/strong> akan mengalami kinerja yang lebih buruk dibandingkan mata uang Asia lainnya dalam waktu dekat, berdasarkan riset terbaru yang dirilis hari ini.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Faktor Utama yang Mempengaruhi Rupiah<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

1. Kebijakan Tarif Presiden AS Donald Trump<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sentimen terkait kebijakan tarif Presiden AS Donald Trump serta arus keluar modal asing yang terus berlanjut diperkirakan akan menjadi faktor utama yang mempengaruhi kinerja rupiah ke depan. Analisis ini dirilis oleh Goldman Sachs dan dilansir dari Bloomberg pada tanggal 27 Februari 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

“Rupiah adalah mata uang yang paling volatil di kawasan Asia dengan perbedaan yang signifikan terhadap dolar AS,”<\/strong> ungkap Rina Jio, analis Goldman Sachs, dalam laporannya.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Saat ini, pasar masih belum sepenuhnya memperhitungkan risiko tarif AS, dan dolar AS berpotensi semakin menguat ketika tarif terhadap China, Uni Eropa, dan barang impor penting lainnya mulai diterapkan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Faktor Musiman dan Permintaan Dolar AS<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Di sisi lain, faktor musiman yang muncul saat pembagian dividen pada bulan Maret dan April akan meningkatkan permintaan dolar AS di Indonesia, yang akan memberikan tekanan lebih besar pada rupiah. Goldman Sachs menilai bahwa faktor eksternal akan lebih dominan dalam mempengaruhi pergerakan rupiah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Defisit Fiskal dan Dampaknya<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Analis Goldman Sachs juga memprediksi bahwa dalam jangka pendek, kinerja surat utang tenor pendek berpotensi meningkat seiring dengan ekspektasi pemangkasan suku bunga acuan BI pada bulan Maret, sebagai upaya untuk mendukung pertumbuhan domestik yang semakin melambat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Baca Juga : BNI Kenalkan Layanan Beli SBN Ritel di Aplikasi Wondr dengan Cashback Menarik<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Baca Juga : PT Bank OCBC NISP Tbk Targetkan Pertumbuhan DPK 13% pada 2025<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sementara itu, surat utang tenor panjang diperkirakan akan mengalami tekanan harga, menyusul meningkatnya risiko fiskal dan melimpahnya suplai surat utang di pasar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Intervensi Bank Indonesia<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Pada perdagangan siang hari Kamis ini, rupiah sempat mencapai level Rp16.443\/US$<\/strong> pada pukul 11:32 WIB, ketika IHSG merosot ke level terendah sejak 2021. Bank Indonesia terlihat melakukan intervensi di pasar untuk menahan penurunan rupiah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

“Kami selalu aktif di pasar dengan intervensi [lebih besar] tiga kali lipat untuk menjaga kepercayaan pasar,”<\/strong> kata Edi Susianto, Direktur Eksekutif Pengelolaan Moneter dan Aset Sekuritas Bank Indonesia, seperti dilansir dari Bloomberg.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Proyeksi Defisit Fiskal Indonesia<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Defisit fiskal Indonesia pada 2025 ini diprediksi akan makin tinggi, menyentuh 2,9% dari PDB<\/strong>, dibandingkan proyeksi 2,5% yang digadang oleh Pemerintah RI. Proyeksi kenaikan defisit fiskal itu, demikian Goldman, adalah karena dampak dari pembentukan Badan Pengelola Investasi Danantara Indonesia<\/strong>, juga ekspansi program 3 Juta Rumah<\/strong> oleh Presiden Prabowo Subianto.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Prediksi Goldman Sachs: Rupiah Terpuruk di Asia Bank investasi global Goldman Sachs memperkirakan bahwa rupiah akan mengalami kinerja yang lebih buruk dibandingkan mata uang Asia lainnya dalam waktu dekat, berdasarkan riset terbaru yang dirilis hari ini. Faktor Utama yang Mempengaruhi Rupiah 1. Kebijakan Tarif Presiden AS Donald Trump Sentimen terkait kebijakan tarif Presiden AS Donald […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4105,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[315,3962,3964,3963],"class_list":["post-5338","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economics","tag-ekonomi","tag-goldman-sachs","tag-jadi-yang-terburuk","tag-prediksi-rupiah"],"yoast_head":"\nGoldman Sachs: Prediksi Rupiah Jadi yang Terburuk di Asia - Regular-investor.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Goldman Sachs memprediksi kinerja rupiah akan lebih buruk dibandingkan mata uang Asia lainnya akibat kebijakan tarif AS dan arus keluar modal asing. 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